Financial bubbles

A look at financial bubbles

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    Random Walk Down Wall Street: South Seas Bubble

    Gordon Gecko and Bretton James in "Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps" probably learned their their craft from these con-artists with high political ties.

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    Dot-com bubble

    The dot-com bubble (also referred to as the dot-com boom, the Internet bubble and the information technology bubble) was a historic speculative bubble covering roughly 1997-2000 (with a climax on March 10, 2000, with the NASDAQ peaking at 5408.60 in intraday trading before closing at 5048.62) during which stock markets in industrialized nations saw their equity value rise rapidly from growth in the Internet sector and related fields.

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    The British "Railway Mania" Bubble

    By Jesse Colombo (This article was written on April 19th, 2012) Railway Mania was an economic bubble in the United Kingdom in the 1840s that involved a railroad development frenzy and a speculative bubble in the shares of railroad companies.

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    Ron Isana: Financial Investments and the History of Bubbles (2002)

    A tad old, but very good: A stock market bubble is a type of economic bubble taking place in stock markets when market participants drive stock prices above their value in relation to some system of stock valuation. Behavioral finance theory attributes stock market bubbles to cognitive biases that lead to groupthink and herd behavior.

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    What's to Blame For Stock Market Bubbles? Your Brain

    "We can all read minds a little bit. But markets-as we painfully learn-are mindless minds If you lost money in the last bubble market there are a lot of things you can blame-a bad tip, a hunch gone wrong. But don't let your dorsomedial prefrontal cortex off the hook."

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    Japanese asset price bubble - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

    The Japanese asset price bubble was an economic bubble in Japan from 1986 to 1991, in which real estate and stock prices were greatly inflated. The bubble episode has been characterized by rapid acceleration of asset prices, overheated economic activity as well as uncontrolled money supply and credit expansion.

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    Barney Frank Does Not Believe a Housing Bubble Exists Although He Created it

    Barney Frank may be the most dangerous person in Congress. In 2005 he did not believe there was a housing bubble. Whenever a government program goes wrong, he blames a lack of regulation and the need for more legislation.

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    Patriots@ Colts: The 4th Quarter

    Down By 17 colts make an amazing comeback to win 35-34 I guess i should put something like: "I don't own any of the right of the video clips(NFL.com) and/or music(Red)."

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    Stock market bubble

    A stock market bubble is a type of economic bubble taking place in stock markets when market participants drive stock prices above their value in relation to some system of stock valuation. Behavioral finance theory attributes stock market bubbles to cognitive biases that lead to groupthink and herd behavior.

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    The Stock Market Bubble is Harder to Spot Than You Think

    What is a stock market bubble and how can you dete4ct them today? Stock market Bubble Let's party like it's 1999. Or not. Why mention 1999? Because this was the time of the dot com bubble. But what is a stock bubble and how do you spot one?

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    The Greatest Market Crashes

    A history of bubbles Andrew Beattie has spent most of his career writing, editing and managing Web content in all its many forms. He is especially interested in the future of search and the application of analytics to the business world. In addition to being a long-time contributor to Investopedia.com, Andrew has been working on ForexDictionary.com.

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    Asset Bubbles Found by Finnish Economist Inspired by Grandfather

    Can bubbles be predicted? Seemingly maybe. "When Katja Taipalus came home from school every day in the Finnish town of Jalasjaervi, she knew her working parents wouldn't be there. Instead, her retired grandfather, who also lived in the large wooden house, played cards and other games with her. They even repaired a car."

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    What is the South Sea Bubble? - Baker Library | Bloomberg Center, Historical Collections

    A complex network of intersecting financial, legal, political, and cultural factors all contributed to the development of the South Sea Bubble, the eventual collapse of the South Sea Company in 1720, and the financial ruin left in its wake. The years leading up to the South Sea Bubble were a time of financial promise and enthusiasm for Britain.

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    CNN Special Report on dot.com Bubble 1999

    VERY cool. A look at a bubble before it burst! CNN Special Report on dot.com Bubble, recorded in 1999.

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    NOVA scienceNOW : 34 - Emergence

    The seemingly coordinated movement of a school of fish or a flock of birds is not controlled by any leader. Instead, it emerges naturally as each individual follows a few simple rules, such as go in the same direction as the other guy, don't get too close, and flee any predators.

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    Yes it was a bubble

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    When the Tulip Bubble Burst

    Books By: MARK FRANKEL TULIPOMANIA The Story of the World's Most Coveted Flower By Mike Dash Crown Publishers 288pp $23 Long before anyone ever heard of Qualcomm, CMGI, Cisco Systems, or the other high-tech stocks that have soared during the current bull market, there was Semper Augustus.

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    Who is to blame?

    Likely not the last word, but the authors find institutions to be the main culprit.

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    Emotions play a key role in Bubbles

    Gee, who would have guessed :) But really cool experiment. By Odean, so you know it has to be good!

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    Blame Biology For Stock Market Bubbles

    "The next time there is a bubble in stocks, or the housing market, or in any asset class really, you can blame your neighbor. And your colleagues at work. Maybe even your hairdresser. California Institute of Technology researchers employed neuroscience to explain why certain assets are driven to exorbitant prices."

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    Watch now: NOVA scienceNOW | Emergence | PBS Video

    How does the "intelligence" of a group arise out of the simple actions of its members? Watch online: Emergence from NOVA scienceNOW. On demand, streaming video from PBS

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    Dutch tulip mania documentary

    Esp after 9 minutes In the 17th century Netherlands, at the start of the Dutch golden age a beautiful flower named tulip created one of the most famous speculative bubbles in the history. Read more on http://www.crisiswatch.net/economy/DutchTulipManiaCauses.html

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    Didier Sornette: How we can predict the next financial crisis

    The 2007-2008 financial crisis, you might think, was an unpredictable one-time crash. But Didier Sornette and his Financial Crisis Observatory have plotted a set of early warning signs for unstable, growing systems, tracking the moment when any bubble is about to pop. (And he's seeing it happen again, right now.)

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    Warren Buffett On Financial Bubbles-Yahoo

    Warren Buffett on bubbles. Honestly the video is not that great, but with his track record he is worth watching.

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    Evidence of herding?

    Evidence of herding?  Correlations of error terms?http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/07/110718101202.htm"Our analysis shows that trends in the use of words by financial journalists correlate closely with changes in the leading stock indices -- the DJI, the NIKKEI-225, and FTSE-100," says Professor Mark Keane, Chair of Computer Science in University College Dublin, who was involved in the research."By plotting the distributions of words used in financial articles published online between 2006 and 2010 into a computer model, we were able to identify what we call 'verb convergence' and 'noun convergence -- where the language used by financial journalists shows converging agreement.""Our study shows that reporters converge on the same language -- 'stocks rose again', 'scaled new heights', or 'soared' -- as their commentaries became more uniformly positive in the lead up to the 2007 crash.""They also appear to refer to a smaller-than-usual set of market events -- presumably because of an increased fixation on a small number of rapidly rising stocks," explains Professor Keane.http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/04/110404111152.htm

    In a study, TUM economists showed that the sentiment from Twitter messages develops similar to the stock market and even leads by a day. The Munich-based economists analyzed 250,000 Twitter messages written in a six-month period and related to S&P 500 listed companies. The result: If an investor had oriented his share purchases according to the Twitter sentiment in the first half of 2010, he would have achieved an average rate of return of up to 15 percent.
    and similar findings from Google searcheshttp://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/11/101115074035.htm
    The authors find clear evidence that weekly transaction volumes of S&P 500 companies are correlated with weekly search volumes of corresponding company names. Thus, increasing transaction volumes coincide with an increasing number of search queries for the corresponding company name. However, stock price variations and changes of company's search volume show no significant correlation. The authors verify this effect for individual stocks as well as for the S&P 500 on an aggregated level. "Thus, search volume data seems to coincide with the attractiveness of trading a stock", says Reith.

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